Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 5
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 5343 4
SurveyUSA 10/31/2008 5245 3
Albuquerque Journal 10/30/2008 5143 6
Public Policy Polling (D) 10/30/2008 5841 1
Rasmussen Reports 10/28/2008 5444 2
Rasmussen Reports 10/13/2008 5542 3
SurveyUSA 10/13/2008 5245 3
Albuquerque Journal 10/2/2008 4540 15
Rasmussen Reports 10/1/2008 4944 7
SurveyUSA 9/30/2008 5244 4
Public Policy Polling (D) 9/19/2008 5342 5
SurveyUSA 9/16/2008 5244 4
American Research Group 9/16/2008 5144 5
Allstate, National Journal 9/15/2008 4942 9
Zogby Interactive (D) 9/12/2008 45.644.1 10.3
Rasmussen Reports 9/8/2008 4749 4
CNN, Time 8/26/2008 5340 7
Rasmussen 8/20/2008 4844 8
Mason-Dixon 8/15/2008 4145 14
Rasmussen 7/24/2008 4943 8
SurveyUSA 6/19/2008 4946 5
Rasmussen 6/19/2008 4739 14
SurveyUSA 5/18/2008 4444 12
Rasmussen 5/14/2008 5041 9
SurveyUSA 4/13/2008 4450 6
Rasmussen 4/8/2008 4542 13
SurveyUSA 3/16/2008 5145 4
SurveyUSA 2/28/2008 5043 7
Rasmussen 2/18/2008 4444 12
SurveyUSA 2/17/2008 5540 5

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map