In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.
For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.
SurveyUSA |
11/3/2008
| 50 | 47 |
3
|
Reuters, Zogby, CSPAN |
11/3/2008
| 49 | 48 |
3
|
Datamar Inc |
11/2/2008
| 47 | 48 |
5
|
Strategic Vision (R) |
11/2/2008
| 49 | 47 |
4
|
FOX News, Rasmussen Reports |
11/2/2008
| 49 | 50 |
1
|
Quinnipiac University |
11/2/2008
| 47 | 45 |
8
|
Public Policy Polling (D) |
11/2/2008
| 50 | 48 |
2
|
Reuters, Zogby |
11/2/2008
| 47.5 | 46.2 |
6.3
|
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) |
11/1/2008
| 49 | 47 |
4
|
American Research Group |
10/31/2008
| 50 | 46 |
4
|
Mason-Dixon |
10/30/2008
| 49 | 47 |
4
|
Datamar Inc |
10/30/2008
| 47 | 47 |
6
|
NBC News, Mason Dixon |
10/29/2008
| 47 | 45 |
8
|
Time, CNN |
10/28/2008
| 51 | 47 |
2
|
Allstate, National Journal |
10/27/2008
| 45 | 44 |
11
|
LA Times, Bloomberg |
10/27/2008
| 50 | 43 |
7
|
Quinnipiac University |
10/26/2008
| 47 | 45 |
8
|
Datamar Inc |
10/26/2008
| 49.2 | 44.4 |
6.4
|
FOX News, Rasmussen Reports |
10/26/2008
| 51 | 47 |
2
|
Suffolk University, 7News |
10/26/2008
| 47 | 43 |
10
|
Reuters, Zogby |
10/26/2008
| 47 | 47 |
6
|
Strategic Vision (R) |
10/22/2008
| 46 | 48 |
6
|
St Petersberg Times, Bay News 9 |
10/22/2008
| 49 | 42 |
9
|
InsiderAdvantage, Politico |
10/22/2008
| 48 | 47 |
5
|
Quinnipiac University |
10/21/2008
| 49 | 44 |
7
|
Mason-Dixon |
10/21/2008
| 45 | 46 |
9
|
Public Policy Polling (D) |
10/19/2008
| 48 | 47 |
5
|
FOX News, Rasmussen Reports |
10/19/2008
| 48 | 49 |
3
|
SurveyUSA |
10/16/2008
| 47 | 49 |
4
|
Herald Tribune |
10/15/2008
| 47 | 43 |
10
|
Research 2k, FL Times-Union |
10/15/2008
| 49 | 45 |
6
|
Time, CNN |
10/14/2008
| 51 | 46 |
3
|
InsiderAdvantage |
10/13/2008
| 48 | 44 |
8
|
Datamar Inc |
10/13/2008
| 47 | 42 |
11
|
FOX News, Rasmussen Reports |
10/12/2008
| 51 | 46 |
3
|
Research 2k, FL Times-Union |
10/8/2008
| 49 | 44 |
7
|
Strategic Vision (R) |
10/8/2008
| 52 | 44 |
4
|
Rasmussen Reports |
10/8/2008
| 50 | 47 |
3
|
Mason-Dixon |
10/6/2008
| 48 | 46 |
6
|
FOX News, Rasmussen Reports |
10/5/2008
| 52 | 45 |
3
|
Suffolk University |
9/30/2008
| 46 | 42 |
12
|
Time, CNN |
9/30/2008
| 51 | 43 |
6
|
InsiderAdvantage |
9/30/2008
| 49 | 46 |
5
|
Quinnipiac University |
9/29/2008
| 51 | 43 |
6
|
SurveyUSA |
9/28/2008
| 47 | 48 |
5
|
FOX News, Rasmussen Reports |
9/28/2008
| 47 | 47 |
6
|
Public Policy Polling (D) |
9/28/2008
| 49 | 46 |
5
|
Quinnipiac University |
9/26/2008
| 49 | 43 |
8
|
American Research Group |
9/25/2008
| 47 | 46 |
7
|
Rasmussen Reports |
9/24/2008
| 47 | 48 |
5
|
Strategic Vision (R) |
9/23/2008
| 45 | 48 |
7
|
FOX News, Rasmussen Reports |
9/21/2008
| 46 | 51 |
3
|
NBC News, Mason Dixon |
9/18/2008
| 47 | 45 |
8
|
Research 2k, FL Times-Union |
9/18/2008
| 45 | 46 |
9
|
SurveyUSA |
9/17/2008
| 45 | 51 |
4
|
Miami Herald, SP Times |
9/17/2008
| 45 | 47 |
8
|
Time, CNN |
9/16/2008
| 48 | 44 |
8
|
Allstate, National Journal |
9/15/2008
| 44 | 44 |
12
|
American Research Group |
9/15/2008
| 46 | 46 |
8
|
FOX News, Rasmussen Reports |
9/14/2008
| 44 | 49 |
7
|
Zogby Interactive (D) |
9/12/2008
| 41.8 | 42.1 |
16.1
|
InsiderAdvantage |
9/10/2008
| 42 | 50 |
8
|
Quinnipiac University |
9/9/2008
| 43 | 50 |
7
|
Public Policy Polling (D) |
9/7/2008
| 45 | 50 |
5
|
FOX News, Rasmussen Reports |
9/7/2008
| 48 | 48 |
4
|
Mason-Dixon |
8/26/2008
| 44 | 45 |
11
|
Quinnipiac University |
8/24/2008
| 43 | 47 |
10
|
Strategic Vision (R) |
8/24/2008
| 42 | 49 |
9
|
The Kitchens Group (D) |
8/21/2008
| 39 | 42 |
19
|
American Research Group |
8/20/2008
| 47 | 46 |
7
|
Rasmussen |
8/18/2008
| 46 | 48 |
6
|
Insider Advantage |
8/11/2008
| 43 | 43 |
14
|
SurveyUSA |
8/3/2008
| 44 | 50 |
6
|
Public Policy Polling (D) |
8/2/2008
| 44 | 47 |
9
|
Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates (R) |
7/28/2008
| 40 | 45 |
15
|
Rasmussen |
7/22/2008
| 49 | 47 |
4
|
ARG |
7/21/2008
| 45 | 47 |
8
|
War Room Logistics |
7/8/2008
| 47 | 45 |
8
|
Strategic Vision (R) |
6/29/2008
| 41 | 49 |
10
|
Public Policy Polling (D) |
6/29/2008
| 46 | 44 |
10
|
Rasmussen |
6/26/2008
| 41 | 48 |
11
|
Rasmussen |
6/18/2008
| 39 | 47 |
14
|
ARG |
6/17/2008
| 49 | 44 |
7
|
Quinnipiac |
6/16/2008
| 47 | 43 |
10
|
Rasmussen |
5/19/2008
| 40 | 50 |
10
|
Quinnipiac University |
4/29/2008
| 43 | 44 |
13
|
Rasmussen |
4/10/2008
| 38 | 53 |
9
|
Quinnipiac University |
3/31/2008
| 37 | 46 |
17
|
Rasmussen |
3/12/2008
| 43 | 47 |
10
|
SurveyUSA |
2/28/2008
| 45 | 47 |
8
|
Rasmussen |
2/16/2008
| 37 | 53 |
10
|