Poll Update (9/28)

The polling from New Jersey coalesced during the past week, while Virginia's numbers still seem to be transitioning:

2009 New Jersey GovernorDemocracy Corps (D)9/23/2009394021
2009 New Jersey GovernorRasmussen Reports9/21/2009414811
2009 New Jersey GovernorStrategic Vision (R)9/20/2009384616
2009 Virginia GovernorInsiderAdvantage9/23/200944488

Corzine (D) still trails by about seven points, but the last time the trend lines were parallel he was down by ten; Corzine has consolidated a net gain of three points in the last month. He will need to increase this rate of change within the next thirty-six days to win, but the race is clearly beginning to shift toward the Democrat in typical New Jersey fashion:

2009 New Jersey Gubernatorial Election

The single new poll from Virginia simply serves to confirm the trend of the previous week. Deeds (D) is down by about two with a month left and anything could happen; but for the moment, McDonnell (R) has the advantage:

2009 Virginia Gubernatorial Election

This week I want to focus on the debate schedule for each gubernatorial election; I'll begin with Virginia.

The Deeds and McDonnell campaigns have been pushing for various changes to the debate schedule, but for the moment there looks to be four debates scheduled. Two have already happened, but more on that later. Here's the current schedule:

Date                  Location           Recap
July 27th          VA Bar Assoc        WA-Times
September 12th*   Radio One Forum
September 17th      Fairfax COC     Times-Dispatch
October 12th         LWV/AARP
October ??             WSLS

[*] Appears to have been canceled.
Source: Bob McDonnell Press Release

Both Virginia campaigns are still debating about the debates, so things may change going forward, but for now this is the schedule. Now onto New Jersey and their more organized debate schedule.

There are two debates sanctioned by the New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission and potentially two more commissioned by the New Jersey Media markets:

Date             Sponsor        Location
October 1st      NJ ELNC      NJ Network TV
October 16th     NJ ELNC      Will Pat. Univ
October 22nd     WBGO FM          Radio
October ???*     ABC Affil      TV 7-8 PM

[*] Negotiations ongoing, Corzine (D) has
    not committed.
Source: NJ.com

Independent candidate Chris Dagget will also participate in all debates held within New Jersey. There will also be a debate between the Lieutenant Governor candidates on October 8th sponsored by the Leadership New Jersey Consortium.

If you live in either New Jersey or Virginia I would highly encourage you to participate in the electoral process by watching or listening to the debates.

More in a week.

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